Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.071287 0.078963 0.087390 0.097376 0.108948 0.122012 0.137984
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.059082 0.069307 0.081448 0.097122 0.117105 0.142134 0.176519
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.051531 0.063185 0.077905 0.098285 0.126472 0.165211 0.224629
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.046122 0.058588 0.075142 0.099442 0.135510 0.189419 0.281255
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.041934 0.054837 0.072700 0.100268 0.143811 0.214085 0.346496
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.038361 0.051381 0.070044 0.100104 0.150244 0.236999 0.416895
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.035161 0.048036 0.067034 0.098766 0.154263 0.256472 0.488309
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.033252 0.046344 0.066240 0.100742 0.164193 0.289281 0.603579
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.030866 0.043674 0.063582 0.099125 0.167143 0.308878 0.697424
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.029305 0.042122 0.062520 0.100084 0.175129 0.341452 0.845950
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.027626 0.040229 0.060682 0.099345 0.179494 0.367051 0.991609
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.026501 0.039127 0.060054 0.100747 0.188618 0.407306 1.220875
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.025408 0.038014 0.059336 0.101961 0.197825 0.451947 1.517657
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.024170 0.036565 0.057892 0.101545 0.203245 0.488429 1.826926
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.023266 0.035618 0.057263 0.102718 0.212819 0.541902 2.310015
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022443 0.034747 0.056688 0.103919 0.222783 0.601743 2.957443
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.021647 0.033863 0.056004 0.104784 0.232104 0.664550 3.797464
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.020793 0.032819 0.054919 0.104605 0.238539 0.720375 4.771803
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019871 0.031591 0.053379 0.103183 0.241109 0.762380 5.784741
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019391 0.031141 0.053335 0.105279 0.254797 0.862429 8.135706
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.018561 0.029990 0.051793 0.103564 0.256229 0.906246 9.957146
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.018051 0.029413 0.051375 0.104580 0.266856 1.005493 14.026545
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.017409 0.028546 0.050295 0.103796 0.271308 1.075504 18.520415